毛文龙继续说着自己的观点,继续希望能改变大家的思维,认清经济贸易在这个世界上比战争还重要的重要性:“反过来,这样的禁运,其实是一把双刃剑,没有伤到敌人,但却伤到了我们自己。”
此言一出,大家再次哗然,大明物产丰富,没有和异族的贸易,自给自足也活的滋润,怎么就伤害了我们自己了呢?
毛文龙微微一笑:“由于禁运,我们中原需要的牛羊驴骡,羊毛皮张,战争用的各种军需也得不到充足的满足。结果中原百姓即便人人有钱,却也不能满足大家对羊肉的需求,更让农业最大的工具耕地的黄牛,价格高的离谱。即便小地主,都无能为力承受不起。‘三亩地一头牛,老婆孩子热炕头’,成为了天下百姓最高的奢望。其实这不是美好的幻想,是悲哀的现实。”
听到这个浅显的说法,大家不由得长叹无奈。
要想成为中国的官员士大夫,他有一个前提,必须走仕途,走仕途就必须读书,但读书也要有个大前提,那就是必须家底殷实。在这个年代,读书是一件成本非常高的行业,不是谁想读就能读得起的。虽然科举考试,能让寒门子弟步入朝堂,但你没有钱读书,也只能是一种妄想。放眼大明几万名官员,真正寒门出身的能有几个?一个人为读书科举,也不知道让多少殷实之家破产。这就是所谓的穷书生酸秀才的出处。
然而即便是这些殷实之家,买上几头黄牛耕地,提高土地的生产量,也因为黄牛的价格而望而却步。为了招待亲朋好友,饭桌上有一碗羊肉汤,那就是很体面的事情。至于牛肉,你悄悄的吃一点,没有问题,但只要有人告发你,你就是罪。看小说演义里那豪侠大吼大叫的招呼小二:“切二斤牛肉,打两角酒。”那都是吃不着的幻想安慰,真要在酒楼野店你这么喊一嗓子试试,牢房饭你是吃定了。
想当年,宋仁宗为了吃一碗羊肉,听说包拯进来,也不得不藏在桌子底下,生怕这个耿直的大臣,斥责他奢侈。
而看看眼前的这个所谓的御宴,鸡鸭鱼肉,山珍海味样样皆有,但唯独大家最想吃的牛羊肉,却没有一点踪影。而人所共知,牛羊肉是这个世界上最养人的肉食,却连皇帝都舍不得拿出来宴请功臣,这实在是一种悲哀。
之所以出现这样的状况,是因为中原不能大面积的饲养牛羊。牛羊是吃草的,一味的给他粮食吃,反倒害了他。
但是一头羊所需要草的面积,最少需要10亩土地,牛则更多。如果大力在中原地区发展牛羊业,就会出现牛羊和人夺取粮食的灾难性后果。这在农业为主的国家里来说,是绝对不可想象的。
看到大家理解了自己的说法,毛文龙继续侃侃而谈:“同时,我们中原不产战马,需要从草原引入,也正是这封闭的商贸往来,让我们的军队没有战马,让我们建设不起来一支支足够强大的骑兵对抗骑兵的异族。
为了能够获得充足的战马需求,大明不得不为之施行马政,结果呢?结果就不但占用了大量的农业土地,让国家的粮食产出减少,而且害苦了西北百姓,逼迫着他们不得不成为马匪,让我们朝廷更加焦头烂额。”
这个教训是深刻的,重新走向中兴的大明,已经发现了这一个弊政,正在想方设法的根除。但是马正却不能废除,因为军队需要战马,这是没有办法平衡的事实。
“而一旦放开与草原的商贸往来,不但让我们获得了上面所有所需要的,让我们有了低廉价格的牛驴骡马耕地生产,让我们大明的土地产量更高,让个多的人丰衣足食,让我们有了充足的战马建设一支又一支强大的骑兵队伍打败敌人,让马政彻底废除,还西北百姓太平。而且让我们蒸蒸日上的手工业的产品有了销路,让我们各地的铁厂又可以复工有了销路,还能安排更多的流民工作稳定社会,如此种种,舅舅,诸位大人,王爷皇上,我说的是不是有道理?”
太多的信息灌输下来,让这个大明帝国最顶尖的一群聪明人,也一时难以消化理解,所以对于毛文龙的询问,没有人立刻给予回答,是错还是对。
但这已经不是毛文龙所需要得到的答案了,因为思想传播出去,就一定会对有心人产生触动,只要有的人往心中走动了,改变就会出现。
毛文龙一直坚持,能用经济解决的事情,就不需要用战争解决;能用钱解决的问题,就更没必要用人命去解决。就比如说他一直没有放弃的杀奴令,这就是一直贯彻他的思想,用钱能消弱敌人,消灭敌人,尽量不用大兵团作战。其实这个命令的效果相当好,因为从整个的人头收取来说,已经远远超过了在战场上杀敌的数目。让建奴满清,八年来人口不但没有增长,反倒下落了。不过这样的结果和战争比,不过就是一个需要细水长流,一个显得辉煌壮烈。往往就是这样,轰轰烈烈辉煌壮烈的小小的成绩,却能掩盖住那从根本上解决问题的办法,究其原因,就是埋在人们骨子里的急功近利在作怪。总是一味的认为,只要战争发动,只要自己有足够强大的军队,足够锋利的刀枪,再加上足够充足的物资,就会让樯橹灰飞烟灭。
但岂不知,这不过是解决了表象问题,这次我可以失败,只要我的经济不崩溃,被歼灭的军队我可以再招募,短缺的军械我可以再补充,然后找个机会,咱们继续操练。
所以,战争,打的就是人口钱粮。
人口就是战争潜力,钱粮就是国家经济。远了不说,唐朝薛仁贵征服朝鲜就是最鲜明的例子,隋唐征服朝鲜,打的是单一的战争,因此才有几大征高丽,最终也没征服的了。薛仁贵打的是经济,一战定乾坤,让朝鲜臣服中原王朝近千年。
站在后世经济学的角度解释两族之间的战争原因,这说这个年代最新鲜的理论,也说最合理的解决办法。后世,蒙古和内地自由往来,形成了一个统一的巨大经济互补圈子,再后世,你让蒙古人独立造反,你逼他他都不干,大家有吃有喝的,吃饱了撑的造反啊。其实,历朝历代,官逼民反的根子就在于,百姓们生活不下去了,再不反,就是死路一条啦,否则,更多的是吃糠咽菜,哪怕吃观音土,百姓也不会造反的。
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